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With a belief that McCain strategy will be to go after Michigan and with Romney's help having a strong chance of success, Obama has to counter with a strategy to pick up a host of red states, which looks at the moment to be possible.
Obama currently leads in NM, CO, and IA all red states in '04. He would need those plus VA for an electoral tie of 269 and a house of representatives run off. To outright win, Obama would need any other state such as NV, OH, MO, or FL
If Obama lost VA, he would need OH or FL or MO + NV.
With Strickland of Ohio saying he categorically will not be a VP choice, Obama is left with a VA strategy and it could be that his VP pick will reflect that. I don't think that is a decision he wants to make yet and McCain has a slight advantage in that Obama will have to pick his VP first and with any expectation that McCain will pick Romney, Obama might be forced to play the VA strategy and go with Webb or Kaine or more likely Marc Warner.
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Political Corner
I'm still playing with the Electoral Map... some interesting stuff -- Arlyn Stewart -- 6/13/08 5:50a.m.
You're not considering trajectory. Today's assumptions won't hold until Nov. -- Brian, Precision 23, Lake Lanier, GA -- 6/13/08 6:19a.m.
-- Russell -- 6/13/08 6:23a.m.
-- Brian, Precision 23, Lake Lanier, GA -- 6/13/08 6:58a.m.